Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 1.616751 1.995404 2.481587 3.168692 4.144519 5.531238e+00 7.754156
2025-01-26 1.202086 1.657405 2.346773 3.541604 5.750792 1.017599e+01 21.732954
2025-02-02 0.960872 1.422977 2.204822 3.779997 7.404345 1.755558e+01 67.134508
2025-02-09 0.784182 1.216636 2.004971 3.773949 8.608288 2.702479e+01 229.510133
2025-02-16 0.652816 1.045731 1.800486 3.633773 9.374760 3.831639e+01 1065.576846
2025-02-23 0.577412 0.954653 1.718529 3.734642 11.091375 6.460955e+01 189735.164214
2025-03-02 0.525444 0.894711 1.680796 3.932977 13.605501 1.269454e+02 NaN
2025-03-09 0.473677 0.823978 1.597669 3.957568 15.539431 2.368786e+02 NaN
2025-03-16 0.421344 0.742682 1.468922 3.774726 16.158697 3.714060e+02 NaN
2025-03-23 0.395082 0.711418 1.453762 3.974836 19.874216 1.233846e+03 NaN
2025-03-30 0.366443 0.670220 1.403199 4.023330 22.860800 5.249063e+03 NaN
2025-04-06 0.336309 0.621358 1.321777 3.912672 24.340622 2.904394e+04 NaN
2025-04-13 0.310386 0.579469 1.253245 3.837190 26.396108 1.269518e+08 NaN
2025-04-20 0.300928 0.574009 1.285225 4.232097 36.821618 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.288645 0.560060 1.289685 4.514200 48.921072 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.270964 0.530749 1.241579 4.501261 55.961574 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.251882 0.495847 1.169711 4.322091 58.095684 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.240707 0.479241 1.152376 4.449822 72.489326 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.232560 0.469207 1.154163 4.702331 99.225219 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.221523 0.450529 1.123661 4.733715 119.291921 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.207618 0.423118 1.059070 4.500692 119.073900 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.201741 0.416030 1.063101 4.755768 171.362050 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.193715 0.402441 1.041892 4.817764 216.979998 NaN NaN